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今天几乎每个群都在转这个，大概翻译一下并付英文。如果这个通话记录是真实的话，我感觉医生们等这个omicron等很久了：
马萨诸塞州总医院国际传染病主任 Edward Ryan 医学博士的通话记录：
1 麻省接近 100% 的阳性病例都是 Omicron。 delta几乎完全从新英格兰消失了。
2 这种激增将在 1/10 到 1/21 之间的某个时间达到顶峰，然后开始一段二到四个星期的快速下坡之旅。
3 我们最终将获得 20-50% 的阳性率。
4 2月将是清理模式，3月将开始恢复“正常”
5 Omicron 感染鼻子和上呼吸道区域，这就是它具有传染性的原因。 它不能像其他变体那样与你的肺结合。
6 增加的住院人数应该持保留态度，因为其中大多数是二次住院（即接受手术、骨折等接受 COVID 检测的人）
7 omicron 不需要第三针，因为在它完全消失之前他们将无法开发出一个booster，我们都会感染它，这将为我们提供通过它所需的免疫力。
8 COVID 将加入我们处理的其他 4 种导致普通感冒、上呼吸道感染、RSV 等冠状病毒的行列。它将成为一种主要影响没有免疫力的幼儿的儿科疾病。
9 40% 的感染者将无症状
10 快速检测对有症状者的敏感性为 50-80%，对无症状者的敏感性仅为 30-60%
11 接触者追踪毫无价值，因为我们都会得到它，而且我们无法跟上它的步伐。
12 我们正在与 COVID 进行最后一场战争，应该恢复正常生活，但社会尚未为此做好准备。
13 除非您免疫功能低下或 85 岁或以上，否则无需在家工作或隐居，但他确实建议在接下来的六周内远离大型聚会。
14 春夏会很美好！
总的来说是一个很棒的介绍。 很多好消息。
Notes from a call with Edward Ryan MD, Director of International Infectious Disease at Massachusetts General Hospital:
1 Close to 100% of the positive cases in MA are Omicron. Delta is almost completely gone from New England.
2 This surge will peak sometime between 1/10 and 1/21 and then begin a quick downhill journey of two to four weeks.
3 We will end up with a 20-50% positivity rate.
4 February will be clean up mode, March will begin to return to "normal"
5 Omicron lives in your nose and upper respiratory area which is what makes it so contagious. It isn't able to bond with your lungs like the other variants.
6 The increased hospitalizations should be taken with a grain of salt as most of them are secondary admissions (i.e. people coming in for surgery, broken bones, etc. who are tested for COVID)
7 We won't need a booster for omicron because they wouldn't be able to develop one before it's completely gone and we're all going to get it which will give us the immunity we need to get through it.
8 COVID will join the 4 other coronaviruses we deal with that cause the common cold, upper respiratory infections, RSV, etc. It will become a pediatric disease mainly affecting young children with no immunity.
9 40% of those infected will be asymptomatic
10 Rapid tests are 50-80% sensitive to those with symptoms, only 30-60% sensitive to those without symptoms
11 Contact tracing is worthless because we're all going to get it and there's no way we could keep up with it.
12 We are fighting the last war with COVID and should be pivoting back to normal life, but society isn't quite ready for it yet.
13 There is no need to stay home from work or to be a hermit unless you're immunocompromised or 85 or older, but he does recommend staying away from large gatherings for the next six weeks.
14 Spring/Summer will be really nice!
Overall a great presentation. Lot of good news.
不需要所谓专业知识，有基本的常识和判断就会远离恐慌和折腾，可惜这世间常识竟然成了稀缺品，被一帮脑袋固化的神经病带着瞎折腾。
Omicron < Flu。
[ 此貼被深蹲练大腿在2022-01-08 16:29重新編輯 ]
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